Wednesday, August 13, 2025

2024 Post Mortem (with Extra Rigor Mortis)

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Okay. It's been six months. It's time I do the obligatory analysis of my presidential election predictions.  First off, I was wrong....
Monday, November 4, 2024

Four More Years But For Whoah....Wait a Second. Final 2024 General Election Forecast.

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I. Four Scenarios . The race remains extremely close. The betting odds are close to even money. The forecasts are nearly tied. But in less t...
Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Four More Years But For Whoah....Wait a Second. (2024 General Election Forecast, Take Five)

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 In 2020 I updated my forecast sixteen times. This is just my fifth in 2024 and I don't expect to do another one.  1. The State of the R...
Tuesday, October 1, 2024

VP Debate Night, 2024

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 I. The State of the Race . I have not had a reason to update my map since late July. For all the daily weirdness of the Trump campaign, the...
Tuesday, September 17, 2024

How I See It, How Trump Should See It.

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 Well, it has been a week. Six days ago, Kamala Harris dominated her first (and probably only) debate with Donald Trump. She was great on a ...
Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Debate Night! 2024

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The second debate of the 2024 general election will be begin in under four hours.  It is the first debate to include Kamala Harris.  As I us...
Monday, September 2, 2024

The Election Reduced to One Chart.

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Today is Labor Day, the traditional beginning of the general election season. I have no changes to make to my previous forecast of Harris wi...
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