I. THE SPIDERSTUMBLED BLOG POWER RANKINGS.
This section is just about me. These are my ranked preferences among the likely candidates. If thier standing has changed since the first rankings, I put their number from the previous iteration of this list in parenthesis. Bold indicates that the candidate has already announced that they are running.
Tip of the 40 ounce to Sherrod Brown, who decided to sit this race out and hope for a VP call.
Five That I Would be Enthused About:
1. Amy Klobuchar.
2. Kamala Harris
3. Beto O'Rourke
The reaction to his launch on liberal social media was surprisingly negative. But he has talent and he will win find his feet and be a force.
4. Elizabeth Warren
She has put forth the most specific and substantive policy ideas so far.
5. Chris Murphy
Seems less likely to run.
Ten That I Would Be Happy With:
6. Kristin Gillibrand
Uninspiring so far, which is why I moved her down to the second tier of my personal choices.
7. Steve Bullock (8)
8. Joe Biden (9)
10. Mitch Landrieu
11. Tim Ryan
12. John Hickenlooper
13. Jay Inslee
14. Julian Castro (Unranked)
Four That Mean Something Went Wrong But Okay, Sure:
15. Andrew Cuomo
16. Terry McAuliffe
17. Corey Booker
18. Pete Buttigieg
He had a good cable TV roll out on CNN and raised 600K. I still think he's running solely to raise his profile, but it's worth acknowledging that he's already done that, a bit.
Four That Well, I Won't Vote For Trump, So Fingers Crossed.
19. Bernie Sanders (21)
20. Tom Steyer
21. The Field of Dumb Celebrities
One WHAT THE FUCK?
22. Tulsi Gabbard. (Unranked)
II. The 2020 Hourse Race.
The Top Tier Candidates.
1. Bernie Sanders 16%/60%
2. Joe Biden 14%/70%
3. Kamala Harris 14%/65%
4. Elizabeth Warren 11%/60%
5. Corey Booker 6%/50%
Second Tier: The Anti-Trumps
6. Beto O'Rourke 9%/70%
7. Amy Klobuchar 9%/70% To win, you have to run. That's why she leap frogged Beto.
Third Tier: Plausible But Flawd.
8. Kristin Gillibrand 3%/57%
9. Andrew Cuomo 1%/60%
10. Terry McCauliffe 1%/60%
11. Chris Murphy 1%/65%.
Fourth Tier: Long Shots.
If Mitch Landrieu, Steve Bullock, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Tim Ryan, John Delaney or Eric Swaell somehow get through this crowded field, then they possess political skills of formidable depth and would be the favorite to win against Trump.
If Buttigieg, Gabbard or Some Dumb Celebrity is the nominee, Trump will probably win.
