Nevadalina

Today was a pretty great day for American democracy.

First, the Circuit Court for the District of Columbia emphatically ruled that Trump's assertions of Presidential immunity were poppy cock. And just now the House of Representatives voted down the insane attempt to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Mayorkas for.....well they never really said.  

Tonight is also the next game night for American democracy, the 2024 Nevada primary.

As always, we first look back at the previous game. The Democratic primary in South Carolina.

Below are my official picks and the (actual results).

Biden 83%  (96.2%)

Phillips 13%  (1.7%)

Others: 4%   (2.1%)

I hope it does not scandalize you to know that I was under the misimpression that Marianne Williamson had dropped out when I made this prediction.  She had not and still has not, bless her heart.  She is the only "Others" included in the above result, somehow claiming a silver medal over an actual living, breathing member of the House of Representatives.

In hindsight, this makes sense. A vote for Phillips is a vote for Biden's policy in a younger body. But if you want to protested Biden for any reason other than age, Williamson was the only option. I suspect she can credit her second place finish to the small number of SC Democrats who wanted to tell Joe Biden that they did not like his handling of the war in Gaza.

I'm going to give myself a gentleman's C on this forecast. Yes, I missed the mark by 13 percent, but who could possibly have seen a 96 coming?  This isn't Swaziland. 

The more significant number though was turnout. Just four percent of eligible voters turned out. Some of them will want to vote in the Republican primary at the end of the month. But most simply realized that this was not an event worth showing up for. 

So we are on to Nevada. This time I do know exactly who is on the ballot-Biden, Wlliamson, and a  bunch of weirdoes not named Dean Phillips. Voters will also have the option of voting for "None of These." This gives us an ability to measure the protest vote. So without further ado, here are my ofiicial predictions:

Biden 74.9%

Williamson 2.7%

None of These 19.8%

Others: 2.6%.

Onward and upward to Michigan.

elow are my official picks and the (actual results).